3)If someone is considered an ‘expert’, the pressure to be right will be enormous. Thats because experts have special status for being knowledgeable about a topic and getting answers about it right. Every mistake is seen as reducing that expertise and proportionatly reducing the status of the expert. Being wrong to someone considered a non expert is even more painful then being wrong to an expert.
In many fields (politics and finance readily come to mind, but I’m sure there are many others), being considered an “expert” creates an immense pressure not to say anything that contradicts the prevailing opinion, and being proven right eventually usually doesn’t redeem you for the status you lost by expressing an unpopular opinion.
In many fields (politics and finance readily come to mind, but I’m sure there are many others), being considered an “expert” creates an immense pressure not to say anything that contradicts the prevailing opinion, and being proven right eventually usually doesn’t redeem you for the status you lost by expressing an unpopular opinion.