I think this is an amazing example of Bayesian methods being more precise and harder to abuse than the tropes of Traditional Rationality. I’ve mentioned this concept to a few friends and they didn’t quite “get it” until I took the time to explain Bayes’ Theorem.
On a related and shamelessly self-promoting note, this post inspired me to re-explain the concept here.
I think this is an amazing example of Bayesian methods being more precise and harder to abuse than the tropes of Traditional Rationality. I’ve mentioned this concept to a few friends and they didn’t quite “get it” until I took the time to explain Bayes’ Theorem.
On a related and shamelessly self-promoting note, this post inspired me to re-explain the concept here.