Thomas Kwa comments on (Updated) METR’s data can’t distinguish between trajectories (and 80% horizons are an order of magnitude off)

[Thomas Kwa]

However my 80% results ended up only being a factor of 2 lower than the results of METR’s current model.

Aren’t these a factor of 2 higher than the original METR model?

[Alexander Barry]

Good catch! Edited my comment. It had been a while since I had looked at the results and I must have also lost the ability to read in the meantime.