I am wondering if risk analysis and mitigation is a separate “rationality” skill. I am not talking about some esoteric existential risk, just your basic garden-variety everyday stuff. While there are several related items here (ugh fields, halo effect), I do not recall EY or anyone else addressing the issue head-on, so feel free to point me to the right discussion.
I am wondering if risk analysis and mitigation is a separate “rationality” skill. I am not talking about some esoteric existential risk, just your basic garden-variety everyday stuff. While there are several related items here (ugh fields, halo effect), I do not recall EY or anyone else addressing the issue head-on, so feel free to point me to the right discussion.
Two related points that I think are very important and not dealt with:
Exploration vs. exploitation (or when to stop doing research).
Judgment under uncertainty (or how to deal with unpredictable long term consequences).