The creation of AI would also revolutionize scientific method, as most science would be done by intelligent machines (Sparkes et al. 2010).
typo
prediction markets have not yet been tested much for technological forecasting (Williams 2011)
And a priori, they would seem unlikely to be reliable given that technological events would affect how valuable the payments are. Trivial example: I would bet against the development of UFAI at any odds, despite not being at all close to sure that UFAI will not be developed.
typo
And a priori, they would seem unlikely to be reliable given that technological events would affect how valuable the payments are. Trivial example: I would bet against the development of UFAI at any odds, despite not being at all close to sure that UFAI will not be developed.