I think your points about the limits of quantitative analysis are a good reality check, but I’m not sure I understand the argument for the types of assessment you suggest here.
Why should I (someone who’s not remarkably experienced in charity evaluation) expect my intuition about e.g. “historical precedent” to be more valid than the data GiveWell collects?
I think your points about the limits of quantitative analysis are a good reality check, but I’m not sure I understand the argument for the types of assessment you suggest here.
Why should I (someone who’s not remarkably experienced in charity evaluation) expect my intuition about e.g. “historical precedent” to be more valid than the data GiveWell collects?