As a decision on expected utility under logical uncertainty, but extremely low confidence, yes. I can argue that it most certainly won’t be a bad thing (which I even attempted in comments to the post itself, my bad), the expectation of it being a bad thing derives from remaining possibility of those arguments failing. As Carl said, “that estimate is unstable in the face of new info” (which refers to his own argument, not necessarily mine).
As a decision on expected utility under logical uncertainty, but extremely low confidence, yes. I can argue that it most certainly won’t be a bad thing (which I even attempted in comments to the post itself, my bad), the expectation of it being a bad thing derives from remaining possibility of those arguments failing. As Carl said, “that estimate is unstable in the face of new info” (which refers to his own argument, not necessarily mine).