I’m curious: if he confirms instead that the change in his estimate, if there was one, was small enough relative to his estimate that he can’t reliably detect it or detect its absence, although he infers that he updated using more or less the same reasoning you use above, will you donate or not?
I would donate even if he said that he revised his estimate upwards.
I would then seriously reconsider my evaluation of him, but as it stands the offer is for him to weigh in at all, not weigh in on my side.
edit: I misparsed your comment. That particular answer would dance very close to ‘no comment’, but unless it seemed constructed that way on purpose, I would still donate.
Yeah, that’s fair. One of the things I was curious about was, in fact, whether you would take that answer as a hedge, but “it depends” is a perfectly legitimate answer to that question.
I’m curious: if he confirms instead that the change in his estimate, if there was one, was small enough relative to his estimate that he can’t reliably detect it or detect its absence, although he infers that he updated using more or less the same reasoning you use above, will you donate or not?
I will donate.
I would donate even if he said that he revised his estimate upwards.
I would then seriously reconsider my evaluation of him, but as it stands the offer is for him to weigh in at all, not weigh in on my side.
edit: I misparsed your comment. That particular answer would dance very close to ‘no comment’, but unless it seemed constructed that way on purpose, I would still donate.
Yeah, that’s fair. One of the things I was curious about was, in fact, whether you would take that answer as a hedge, but “it depends” is a perfectly legitimate answer to that question.