When your estimates are tracked (which was the purpose of predictionbook.com [disclaimer: financial interest]) it becomes much harder to signal with them without blowing your publicly visible calibration.
It does. Of course, given that I was primed with the ‘AI-foom’ debate I found the thought of worrying what people will think of your calibration a little amusing. :)
When your estimates are tracked (which was the purpose of predictionbook.com [disclaimer: financial interest]) it becomes much harder to signal with them without blowing your publicly visible calibration.
It does. Of course, given that I was primed with the ‘AI-foom’ debate I found the thought of worrying what people will think of your calibration a little amusing. :)