Charlie Steiner comments on Debunking “When Prophecy Fails”

Charlie Steiner 6 Nov 2025 22:16 UTC
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Preprint available here: https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/9j7qc_v2
- gwern 11 Dec 2025 8:19 UTC
  3 points
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  Parent
  Fulltext: https://gwern.net/doc/psychology/cognitive-bias/2025-kelly.pdf