Assuming MWI is correct, the probability of intelligent life in this universe is 100%
The probability of intelligent life in this universe is 100% conditioned on the fact that we are intelligent, and barring the fact that some powers would likely challenge this proposition.
Assuming MWI is correct, and that by Universe you mean the larger, seemingly infinite structure our Hubble Volume is embedded in, then yes, the probability of intelligent life (other than us) is unity. Though we are still alone if they are over the Hubble Horizon.
If by Universe you mean “our” observable universe, then MWI seems to guarantee that some (possibly small) proportion of branches of this Hubble volume will have no intelligent observers other than us. Still other branches/histories of “our” Hubble volume should have no observers at all.
The probability of intelligent life in this universe is 100% conditioned on the fact that we are intelligent, and barring the fact that some powers would likely challenge this proposition.
Assuming MWI is correct, and that by Universe you mean the larger, seemingly infinite structure our Hubble Volume is embedded in, then yes, the probability of intelligent life (other than us) is unity. Though we are still alone if they are over the Hubble Horizon.
If by Universe you mean “our” observable universe, then MWI seems to guarantee that some (possibly small) proportion of branches of this Hubble volume will have no intelligent observers other than us. Still other branches/histories of “our” Hubble volume should have no observers at all.
Right. Now I feel stupid for missing that.
Different objection: the amount of life isn’t a poisson distribution. It has much thicker tails, as the absurd amount of life in MWI shows.