It is common in day-to-day conversation to say something along the lines of, “I don’t think that’s likely to happen,” or, “That’s probably not true.” I’ve adopted the habit of verbally attaching probabilities each time this happens. (“He probably won’t be late” → “There’s maybe a 10% chance he’ll be late.” This way it’s really obvious when I’m wrong about something, and I get a measure of how wrong I was. If you don’t view your expectations as predictions to be tested, you miss the opportunity to learn.
It is common in day-to-day conversation to say something along the lines of, “I don’t think that’s likely to happen,” or, “That’s probably not true.” I’ve adopted the habit of verbally attaching probabilities each time this happens. (“He probably won’t be late” → “There’s maybe a 10% chance he’ll be late.” This way it’s really obvious when I’m wrong about something, and I get a measure of how wrong I was. If you don’t view your expectations as predictions to be tested, you miss the opportunity to learn.