This reminds me of a conversation from Dumb and Dumber.
Lloyd: What are the chances of a guy like you and a girl like me… ending up together?
Mary: Well, that’s pretty difficult to say.
Lloyd: Hit me with it! I’ve come a long way to see you, Mary. The least you can do is level with me. What are my chances?
Mary: Not good.
Lloyd: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred?
Mary: I’d say more like one out of a million.
[pause]
Lloyd: So you’re telling me there’s a chance.
However: apply 1:1E6 to 260E6 million people in the US in 1994, there’s probably 130 couples like them.
Far from the “still not happening even if you flip a (weighted) coin every second since the big bang”- chance in the post, but since Lloyd probably did not do the math and just ignored the actual value… yep, classical example.
This reminds me of a conversation from Dumb and Dumber.
Lloyd: What are the chances of a guy like you and a girl like me… ending up together? Mary: Well, that’s pretty difficult to say. Lloyd: Hit me with it! I’ve come a long way to see you, Mary. The least you can do is level with me. What are my chances? Mary: Not good. Lloyd: You mean, not good like one out of a hundred? Mary: I’d say more like one out of a million. [pause] Lloyd: So you’re telling me there’s a chance.
Good post.
However: apply 1:1E6 to 260E6 million people in the US in 1994, there’s probably 130 couples like them.
Far from the “still not happening even if you flip a (weighted) coin every second since the big bang”- chance in the post, but since Lloyd probably did not do the math and just ignored the actual value… yep, classical example.