Why use probability even in conversations with people who don’t understand probability?
Because probability is TRUE. And if people keep hearing about it, maybe they’ll actually try to start learning about it.
You’re right of course that this needs to be balanced with rhetorical efficiency—we may need to practice some Dark Arts to persuade people for the wrong reasons just to get them to the point where the right reasons can work at all.
The rest of your comment dissolves into irrationality pretty quickly. We do in fact know to very high certainty that “spiritual intuition” is not good evidence, and if you really doubt that we can deluge you with gigabytes of evidence to that effect.
Pyrrhonism is sometimes equated with skepticism, in which case it’s stupid and self-defeating; and sometimes it’s equated with fallibilism, in which case it’s true and in some cases even interesting (many people who cite the Bible’s infallibility do not seem to understand that relying on their assessment would be asserting their infallibility), but usually is implicit in the entire scientific method. I don’t know which is historically closer to what Pyrrho thought, but nor do I particularly care.
Why use probability even in conversations with people who don’t understand probability?
Because probability is TRUE. And if people keep hearing about it, maybe they’ll actually try to start learning about it.
You’re right of course that this needs to be balanced with rhetorical efficiency—we may need to practice some Dark Arts to persuade people for the wrong reasons just to get them to the point where the right reasons can work at all.
The rest of your comment dissolves into irrationality pretty quickly. We do in fact know to very high certainty that “spiritual intuition” is not good evidence, and if you really doubt that we can deluge you with gigabytes of evidence to that effect.
Pyrrhonism is sometimes equated with skepticism, in which case it’s stupid and self-defeating; and sometimes it’s equated with fallibilism, in which case it’s true and in some cases even interesting (many people who cite the Bible’s infallibility do not seem to understand that relying on their assessment would be asserting their infallibility), but usually is implicit in the entire scientific method. I don’t know which is historically closer to what Pyrrho thought, but nor do I particularly care.