Are you saying the measurements they took make their final claim more likely, or that their analysis of the data is correct and justifies their claim?
Yes, if you arrange things moderately rationally, evidence against a homogenous response is evidence against any response, but much less so. I think Phil agrees with that too, and is objecting to a conclusion based on much less so evidence pretending to have much more justification than it does.
Ok, yeah, translating what the researchers did into a Bayesian framework isn’t quite right either. Phil should have translated what they did into a frequentist framework—i.e. he still straw manned them. See my comment here.
What they did do?
Are you saying the measurements they took make their final claim more likely, or that their analysis of the data is correct and justifies their claim?
Yes, if you arrange things moderately rationally, evidence against a homogenous response is evidence against any response, but much less so. I think Phil agrees with that too, and is objecting to a conclusion based on much less so evidence pretending to have much more justification than it does.
Ok, yeah, translating what the researchers did into a Bayesian framework isn’t quite right either. Phil should have translated what they did into a frequentist framework—i.e. he still straw manned them. See my comment here.