This might be a good subject for bets and rationality practice.
It sounds like a lot of effort for just one question. It would be easier to have someone transparently pick some science papers that people hadn’t heard of, and then have people guess at what their conclusions were.
It sounds like a lot of effort for just one question. It would be easier to have someone transparently pick some science papers that people hadn’t heard of, and then have people guess at what their conclusions were.
This is a good idea; however, it is possible to update fairly strongly on the fact that a paper on the subject in question was published.