BTW, this is also a crux for me as well, in that I do believe that absent technical misalignment, some humans will have most of the power by default, rather than AIs, because I believe AI rights will be limited by default.
I think this is the disagreement: I expect that selfish/individual powerseeking without any coordination will still result in (some) humans having most power in the absence of technical misalignment problems. Presumably your view is that the marginal amount of power anyone gets via powerseeking is negligible (in the absence of coordination). But, I don’t see why this would be the case. Like all shareholders/board members/etc want to retain their power and thus will vote accordingly which naively will retain their power unless they make a huge error from their own powerseeking perspective. Wasting some resources on negative sum dynamics isn’t a crux for this argument unless you can argue this will waste a substantial fraction of all human resources?
BTW, this is also a crux for me as well, in that I do believe that absent technical misalignment, some humans will have most of the power by default, rather than AIs, because I believe AI rights will be limited by default.