Likelihood of secondary long-term effects when getting it
I estimated this primarily on the basis of hospitalization rates and cases that are classified as “severe” which are around 10%-20% from what I’ve seen so far.
Average badness of secondary long-term effects
I mostly just read a bunch of papers on Pneumonia and looked up some related reading on secondary effects from other diseases. Here is an answer that goes into detail on this:
How did you estimate “Likelihood of secondary long-term effects when getting it” and “Average badness of secondary long-term effects”?
Likelihood of secondary long-term effects when getting it
I estimated this primarily on the basis of hospitalization rates and cases that are classified as “severe” which are around 10%-20% from what I’ve seen so far.
Average badness of secondary long-term effects
I mostly just read a bunch of papers on Pneumonia and looked up some related reading on secondary effects from other diseases. Here is an answer that goes into detail on this:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/h4GFHbhxE2pfiadhi/will-ncov-survivors-suffer-lasting-disability-at-a-high-rate?commentId=uZJqxj3SDBth7Md3S