I’m promoting this to Featured, because of the two key insights I got from this. The first was the crystallisation of your reply to modest epistemology—neither a rejection of ‘experts’ nor putting full trust in them, but instead building skills in modelling institutions, markets, incentives and adequacy, in the specific domains you care about. And the second was the sections on the distinction between being able to pick the best experts, and being able to do better than the best experts, and the rarity of the latter relative to the former.
I’m promoting this to Featured, because of the two key insights I got from this. The first was the crystallisation of your reply to modest epistemology—neither a rejection of ‘experts’ nor putting full trust in them, but instead building skills in modelling institutions, markets, incentives and adequacy, in the specific domains you care about. And the second was the sections on the distinction between being able to pick the best experts, and being able to do better than the best experts, and the rarity of the latter relative to the former.