I tried to remain agnostic; on the meta level it could be that 20% of choices of distribution account for 80% of my consternation caused by choices of distribution, or that I am optimizing my message to influence the 20% of people who make 80% of such errors instead of the general Less Wrong populace. I’m advocating a decision policy, much of the epistemic support is swept into the “insofar as my perception is evidence” clause. I can’t easily reflect on the intuitive calculus that my brain does to determine the utility of collecting or propagating certain information given many sources of uncertainty.
So you’re saying the pareto principle heuristic isn’t good for those kinds of situations? That makes some sense, I suppose.
I tried to remain agnostic; on the meta level it could be that 20% of choices of distribution account for 80% of my consternation caused by choices of distribution, or that I am optimizing my message to influence the 20% of people who make 80% of such errors instead of the general Less Wrong populace. I’m advocating a decision policy, much of the epistemic support is swept into the “insofar as my perception is evidence” clause. I can’t easily reflect on the intuitive calculus that my brain does to determine the utility of collecting or propagating certain information given many sources of uncertainty.