If you can’t affect creation of an extortion ASI, then you can’t affect its posited acausal incentives either, since these things are one and the same.
Within the hypothetical of expecting likely creation of an extortion ASI, what it does and why is no longer unimportant, Pascal’s wager issues no longer apply. Though it still makes sense to remain defiant (to the extent you do have the ability to affect the outcomes), feeding the principle that blackmail works more rarely and that there’s coordination around defying it, maintaining integrity of the worlds that (as a result) remain less affected by its influence.
If you can’t affect creation of an extortion ASI, then you can’t affect its posited acausal incentives either, since these things are one and the same.
Within the hypothetical of expecting likely creation of an extortion ASI, what it does and why is no longer unimportant, Pascal’s wager issues no longer apply. Though it still makes sense to remain defiant (to the extent you do have the ability to affect the outcomes), feeding the principle that blackmail works more rarely and that there’s coordination around defying it, maintaining integrity of the worlds that (as a result) remain less affected by its influence.