I’m sorry. Eliezer, can you please explain to me what you mean when you say the how certain you are (probability %) that something is true? I’ve studied a lot of statistics, but I really have no idea what you mean.
If I say that this fair coin in my hand has a 50% chance of coming up heads, then that means that if I flip it a lot of times, then it’ll be heads 50% of the times. I can do that with a lot of real, measurable things.
So, what do you mean by, you are 99% certain of something?
I’m sorry. Eliezer, can you please explain to me what you mean when you say the how certain you are (probability %) that something is true? I’ve studied a lot of statistics, but I really have no idea what you mean.
If I say that this fair coin in my hand has a 50% chance of coming up heads, then that means that if I flip it a lot of times, then it’ll be heads 50% of the times. I can do that with a lot of real, measurable things.
So, what do you mean by, you are 99% certain of something?