Under this framing, one possible choice of which normal technology AI would be in the reference class of would be “fire.” Fire unlocked new sources of calories and allowed our ancestors to evolve larger brains, after which we took over the world and the other hominids went extinct, ending a million-year technological stagnation and beginning a hundred-thousand-year economic growth hyperbola that the best estimates say has a vertical asymptote sometime in the relatively near future (years to centuries).
I somehow don’t think that that, the last time a new and smarter kind of mind emerged on Earth, implies what you had in mind?
Humans entered the world scene with no intentional, organized opposition. It will be very different for any second entrant. We all agree on that, we only disagree on how best to shut out competitors.
That’s true. Our opposition was much less organized. The starting capabilities on both sides will be significantly higher this time around, however it goes.
Under this framing, one possible choice of which normal technology AI would be in the reference class of would be “fire.” Fire unlocked new sources of calories and allowed our ancestors to evolve larger brains, after which we took over the world and the other hominids went extinct, ending a million-year technological stagnation and beginning a hundred-thousand-year economic growth hyperbola that the best estimates say has a vertical asymptote sometime in the relatively near future (years to centuries).
I somehow don’t think that that, the last time a new and smarter kind of mind emerged on Earth, implies what you had in mind?
Humans entered the world scene with no intentional, organized opposition. It will be very different for any second entrant. We all agree on that, we only disagree on how best to shut out competitors.
That’s true. Our opposition was much less organized. The starting capabilities on both sides will be significantly higher this time around, however it goes.