In addition to the argument already raised, that it doesn’t matter how many colonies are working on it, only how many people, I think it’s worth pointing out that if a friendly AI was created on any colony, it should also prevent an unfriendly one from developing on other colonies. It’s not clear that there’s any reason to suppose it tips the likelihood of future strong AI being friendly in either direction.
If we suppose that the time to FOOM is a function of how many people are working on it, and that colonizing other planets would increase the total population, then we should probably anticipate the same number of person-years to FOOM either way.
In addition to the argument already raised, that it doesn’t matter how many colonies are working on it, only how many people, I think it’s worth pointing out that if a friendly AI was created on any colony, it should also prevent an unfriendly one from developing on other colonies. It’s not clear that there’s any reason to suppose it tips the likelihood of future strong AI being friendly in either direction.
If we suppose that the time to FOOM is a function of how many people are working on it, and that colonizing other planets would increase the total population, then we should probably anticipate the same number of person-years to FOOM either way.