Maybe an analogy which seems closer to the “real world” situation—let’s say you and someone like Sam Altman both tried to start new companies. How much more time and starting capital do you think you’d need to have a better shot of success than him?
I don’t quite see what you’re trying to tell me. That one (which?) of my two analogies (weather or RTS) is bad? That you agree or disagree with my main claim that “evaluating the relative value of an intelligence advantage is probably hard in real life”?
Your analogy doesn’t really speak to me because I’ve never tried to start a company and have no idea what leads to success, or what resources/time/information/intelligence helps how much.
Maybe an analogy which seems closer to the “real world” situation—let’s say you and someone like Sam Altman both tried to start new companies. How much more time and starting capital do you think you’d need to have a better shot of success than him?
I really have no idea, probably a lot?
I don’t quite see what you’re trying to tell me. That one (which?) of my two analogies (weather or RTS) is bad? That you agree or disagree with my main claim that “evaluating the relative value of an intelligence advantage is probably hard in real life”?
Your analogy doesn’t really speak to me because I’ve never tried to start a company and have no idea what leads to success, or what resources/time/information/intelligence helps how much.