no-one has the social courage to tackle the problems that are actually important
I would be very surprised if this were true. I personally don’t feel any social pressure against sketching a probability distribution over the dynamics of an AI project that is nearing AGI.
I would guess that if people aren’t tackling Hard Problems enough, it’s not because they lack social courage, but because 1) they aren’t running a good-faith search for Hard Problems to begin with, or 2) they came up with reasons for not switching to the Hard Problems they thought of, or 3) they’re wrong about what problems are Hard Problems. My money’s mostly on (1), with a bit of (2).
I would be very surprised if this were true. I personally don’t feel any social pressure against sketching a probability distribution over the dynamics of an AI project that is nearing AGI.
I would guess that if people aren’t tackling Hard Problems enough, it’s not because they lack social courage, but because 1) they aren’t running a good-faith search for Hard Problems to begin with, or 2) they came up with reasons for not switching to the Hard Problems they thought of, or 3) they’re wrong about what problems are Hard Problems. My money’s mostly on (1), with a bit of (2).