i.e. your models of and uncertainties around the alignment problem determine ~90% of the variance in strategy
I don’t think that’s the case in most groups. There is a huge amount of disagreement even holding fixed views about the difficulty of the alignment problem, with more of the variance explained by questions about what different groups of people might agree to, the dynamics of different kinds of conflict, the internal dynamics of a group with a nominal commitment to safety, etc.
I don’t think that’s the case in most groups. There is a huge amount of disagreement even holding fixed views about the difficulty of the alignment problem, with more of the variance explained by questions about what different groups of people might agree to, the dynamics of different kinds of conflict, the internal dynamics of a group with a nominal commitment to safety, etc.