The takeaway here could be that this is a poor model for how the lawyers work, or that the lawyers aren’t doing a very good job. Do you have a view on which is more accurate?
Note that for some of the criteria, if one answer is seen as much more likely than the other then receiving that answer may lead to a very small rational update of expectations. This could reasonably be abbreviated as “no effect on either lawyer”, even when the other answer would lead to a substantial effect. But your example of the income shows that this can’t be the only thing happening, since that’s so close to the median the updates would have to be a similar size either way.
The takeaway here could be that this is a poor model for how the lawyers work, or that the lawyers aren’t doing a very good job. Do you have a view on which is more accurate?
Note that for some of the criteria, if one answer is seen as much more likely than the other then receiving that answer may lead to a very small rational update of expectations. This could reasonably be abbreviated as “no effect on either lawyer”, even when the other answer would lead to a substantial effect. But your example of the income shows that this can’t be the only thing happening, since that’s so close to the median the updates would have to be a similar size either way.