I agree that people frequently give fallacious responses, and that the opposite is not equal in probability (it may be much higher). I disagree with roughly everything else in the parent. In particular, “god” is not a natural category. By this I mean that if we assume a way to get eternal life exists, the (conditional) probability of any religion that makes this promise still seems vanishingly small—much smaller than the chance of us screwing up the hypothetical opportunity by deliberately adopting an irrational belief.
This does not necessarily mean that we can introduce infinite utility and it will add up to normality. But e.g. we observe the real Eliezer taking unusual actions which could put him in a good position to live forever if the possibility exists.
I agree that people frequently give fallacious responses, and that the opposite is not equal in probability (it may be much higher). I disagree with roughly everything else in the parent. In particular, “god” is not a natural category. By this I mean that if we assume a way to get eternal life exists, the (conditional) probability of any religion that makes this promise still seems vanishingly small—much smaller than the chance of us screwing up the hypothetical opportunity by deliberately adopting an irrational belief.
This does not necessarily mean that we can introduce infinite utility and it will add up to normality. But e.g. we observe the real Eliezer taking unusual actions which could put him in a good position to live forever if the possibility exists.