I would be surprised if this were a key crux for more than a few folks.
My intuition is that people’s cruxes are much more likely to be things like “AI develop will be slow so society will have time to adapt”, “many more good guys than bad guys” or “power concentration is sufficiently terrifying that we have to bet on the offense-defense balance being favourable”.
I would be surprised if this were a key crux for more than a few folks.
My intuition is that people’s cruxes are much more likely to be things like “AI develop will be slow so society will have time to adapt”, “many more good guys than bad guys” or “power concentration is sufficiently terrifying that we have to bet on the offense-defense balance being favourable”.