Cool. Another interesting question would be how the views of a single person change over time. This would help tease out whether it’s a generational trend or a generic trend with getting older.
In my own case, I only switched to finding a soft takeoff pretty likely within the last year. The change happened as I read more sources outside LessWrong that made some compelling points. (Note that I still agree that work on AI risks may have somewhat more impact in hard-takeoff scenarios, so that hard takeoffs deserve more than their probability’s fraction of attention.)
If you pull the image from it’s current location and message me when you add more folks I might even update it. Or I can send you my data if you want to go for a more consistency.
Cool. Another interesting question would be how the views of a single person change over time. This would help tease out whether it’s a generational trend or a generic trend with getting older.
In my own case, I only switched to finding a soft takeoff pretty likely within the last year. The change happened as I read more sources outside LessWrong that made some compelling points. (Note that I still agree that work on AI risks may have somewhat more impact in hard-takeoff scenarios, so that hard takeoffs deserve more than their probability’s fraction of attention.)
Birth Year vs Foom:
A bit less striking than the famous enough to have Google pop up their birth year subset (green).
This is awesome! Thank you. :) I’d be glad to copy it into my piece if I have your permission. For now I’ve just linked to it.
Consider it to be public domain.
If you pull the image from it’s current location and message me when you add more folks I might even update it. Or I can send you my data if you want to go for a more consistency.