I suspect it’d be high-EV to figure out generalized versions of “Dictator Island” and variations thereof such that currently-powerful people can be credibly promised that they don’t have to massively worry about safety or quality of life if they lose power struggles. There are deterrent and morale reasons to go for a more punitive/retributive method instead (eg try ppl for war crimes) but imo the arguments for that are worse, especially in the current moment.
I suspect it’d be high-EV to figure out generalized versions of “Dictator Island” and variations thereof such that currently-powerful people can be credibly promised that they don’t have to massively worry about safety or quality of life if they lose power struggles. There are deterrent and morale reasons to go for a more punitive/retributive method instead (eg try ppl for war crimes) but imo the arguments for that are worse, especially in the current moment.