Your line “Yes, definitely, if a few plausible assumptions turn out right. ” is where most people will be put off.
It strikes of dishonesty, presumably to yourself. You’re saying “definitely” and then clarifying that’s it not actually definite. Which indicates that you’re not being honest, you’re trying to give an incorrect impression. At which point, your idea of what is plausible becomes entirely untrustworthy.
Which for a person desperate to find a way to overcome a fatal disease is commonplace.
Your line “Yes, definitely, if a few plausible assumptions turn out right. ” is where most people will be put off.
It strikes of dishonesty, presumably to yourself. You’re saying “definitely” and then clarifying that’s it not actually definite. Which indicates that you’re not being honest, you’re trying to give an incorrect impression. At which point, your idea of what is plausible becomes entirely untrustworthy.
Which for a person desperate to find a way to overcome a fatal disease is commonplace.
I agree with what you say, but the rest of the discussion could go essentially unchanged if the line
were replaced with
“Perhaps, my best estimate of the odds are 1% or so”
(which would be my response in an analogous discussion)
I think that what seems to me to be the main point of the dialog,
is fairly insensitive to a wide range of possible odds for cryonics working.