I agree, but I think if there were political will the government could shut down development (at least at the major US labs) rapidly as well. As I said, a proper pause would take time to implement, but I think you could get like 80% of the way there by just telling the big US labs to stop development and working out the details later.
Again, I’m not arguing that this is the best plan—obviously it would be better to have something properly implemented, and I agree with the post’s overall argument that we should pause ASAP. I just don’t think it actually takes much time to implement something basic.
I just don’t think it actually takes much time to implement something basic.
The concern is that i) they’ll do that in an emergency, but it’s unclear that stopping further development could occur in time given that once it’s dangerous it’s too late, or ii) they’ll discuss doing a bam preventatively and this requires significant debate and implementation so it will be too slow.
I agree, but I think if there were political will the government could shut down development (at least at the major US labs) rapidly as well. As I said, a proper pause would take time to implement, but I think you could get like 80% of the way there by just telling the big US labs to stop development and working out the details later. Again, I’m not arguing that this is the best plan—obviously it would be better to have something properly implemented, and I agree with the post’s overall argument that we should pause ASAP. I just don’t think it actually takes much time to implement something basic.
The concern is that i) they’ll do that in an emergency, but it’s unclear that stopping further development could occur in time given that once it’s dangerous it’s too late, or ii) they’ll discuss doing a bam preventatively and this requires significant debate and implementation so it will be too slow.