Parent (by Cousin It) and grandparent (by Doug) are wrong.
If I have nine siblings about whom I know absolutely nothing except that they are people, intelligent agents or observers in our reference class and that they exist, it is a error in reasoning for me to assume (like Doug’s argument does) that just because something unlikely happened to me, it happened or will happen to them, too.
That said, I do not know the solution to the original problem.
Parent (by Cousin It) and grandparent (by Doug) are wrong.
If I have nine siblings about whom I know absolutely nothing except that they are people, intelligent agents or observers in our reference class and that they exist, it is a error in reasoning for me to assume (like Doug’s argument does) that just because something unlikely happened to me, it happened or will happen to them, too.
That said, I do not know the solution to the original problem.