What Adams does is that he looks at Silver’s estimate, says that it is way too low and then takes 1 minus Silver’s estimate as his own estimate just to make a point. He does not attempt any statistical analysis and the 98% figure should not be taken seriously.
What Adams does is that he looks at Silver’s estimate, says that it is way too low and then takes 1 minus Silver’s estimate as his own estimate just to make a point. He does not attempt any statistical analysis and the 98% figure should not be taken seriously.