In the same way, it’s hopeless to try to assign probabilities to events and do a Bayesian update on everything. But you can still take advice from theorems like “Conservation of expected evidence” and the like. Formalisations might not be good for specifics, but they’re good for telling you if you’re going wrong in some more general manner.
In the same way, it’s hopeless to try to assign probabilities to events and do a Bayesian update on everything. But you can still take advice from theorems like “Conservation of expected evidence” and the like. Formalisations might not be good for specifics, but they’re good for telling you if you’re going wrong in some more general manner.