I agree. I assumed any prediction markets sequence that would be undertaken would include this. Even one that didn’t would at least be useful to the economically literate who haven’t considered prediction markets yet.
That’s a good point too. which brings up the question of why they’re not as well accepted. I’ve kind of figured it was because prediction markets are a new(er) idea and “science advances one funeral at a time.” I predict the next wave of economists will all think in terms of prediction markets, p=80%.
I agree. I assumed any prediction markets sequence that would be undertaken would include this. Even one that didn’t would at least be useful to the economically literate who haven’t considered prediction markets yet.
That’s a good point too. which brings up the question of why they’re not as well accepted. I’ve kind of figured it was because prediction markets are a new(er) idea and “science advances one funeral at a time.” I predict the next wave of economists will all think in terms of prediction markets, p=80%.