I believe our ancestors elevated and condemned people for reasons mostly separate from whether they statistically made better predictions. Things like “Does this sound good?”, “Does this help give more power to the leader?”, “Is the person uttering the various statements seemingly convinced of them?”, “Can the person make it seem like the statements matched the reality post-hoc?”, etc.
It might have correlated in some cases, but what I am pointing at something much more hit-or-miss than the process you are describing.
I believe our ancestors elevated and condemned people for reasons mostly separate from whether they statistically made better predictions. Things like “Does this sound good?”, “Does this help give more power to the leader?”, “Is the person uttering the various statements seemingly convinced of them?”, “Can the person make it seem like the statements matched the reality post-hoc?”, etc.
It might have correlated in some cases, but what I am pointing at something much more hit-or-miss than the process you are describing.