It’s an interesting question as to whether aAlice is actually overconfident. Her predictions about human behaviour may be spot on, at this point—much better than human predictions about ourselves. So her confidence depends on whether she has the right kind of philosophical uncertainty.
It’s an interesting question as to whether aAlice is actually overconfident. Her predictions about human behaviour may be spot on, at this point—much better than human predictions about ourselves. So her confidence depends on whether she has the right kind of philosophical uncertainty.