I don’t think he is saying, “good explanations are hard to vary while preserving their predictions”.
As described above the statement “Everyone just acts in his own interest” very easily preserves its predictive power in a multitude of situations. Indeed, the problem with it is that the statement preserves its predictive power in too many situations! The explanation is consistent with just about whatever happens, so one cannot design a test that makes one believe that the statement is certainly false. So it is too easy to vary and hence a bad explanation.
I don’t think he is saying, “good explanations are hard to vary while preserving their predictions”.
As described above the statement “Everyone just acts in his own interest” very easily preserves its predictive power in a multitude of situations. Indeed, the problem with it is that the statement preserves its predictive power in too many situations! The explanation is consistent with just about whatever happens, so one cannot design a test that makes one believe that the statement is certainly false. So it is too easy to vary and hence a bad explanation.