I’d consider those to be “in-scope” for the database, so the database would include any such estimates that I was aware of and that weren’t too private to share in the database.
If I recall correctly, some estimates in the database are decently related to that, e.g. are framed as “What % of the total possible moral value of the future will be realized?” or “What % of the total possible moral value of the future is lost in expectation due to AI risk?”
But I haven’t seen many estimates of that type, and I don’t remember seeing any that were explicitly framed as “What fraction of the accessible universe’s resources will be used in a way optimized for ‘the correct moral theory’?”
If you know of some, feel free to comment in the database to suggest they be added :)
Do you also have estimates of the fraction of resources in our light cone that we expect to be used to create optimised good stuff?
I’d consider those to be “in-scope” for the database, so the database would include any such estimates that I was aware of and that weren’t too private to share in the database.
If I recall correctly, some estimates in the database are decently related to that, e.g. are framed as “What % of the total possible moral value of the future will be realized?” or “What % of the total possible moral value of the future is lost in expectation due to AI risk?”
But I haven’t seen many estimates of that type, and I don’t remember seeing any that were explicitly framed as “What fraction of the accessible universe’s resources will be used in a way optimized for ‘the correct moral theory’?”
If you know of some, feel free to comment in the database to suggest they be added :)