Despite that, I feel keenly aware that it’s asking a lot more questions than it’s answering. I don’t think I’ve got massively further in the intervening year in having good answers to those questions. The way this thinking seems to me to be most helpful is as a background model to help avoid confused assumptions when thinking about the future of AI. I do think this has impacted the way I think about AI risk, but I haven’t managed to articulate that well yet (maybe in 2026 …).
I like this post and am glad that we wrote it.
Despite that, I feel keenly aware that it’s asking a lot more questions than it’s answering. I don’t think I’ve got massively further in the intervening year in having good answers to those questions. The way this thinking seems to me to be most helpful is as a background model to help avoid confused assumptions when thinking about the future of AI. I do think this has impacted the way I think about AI risk, but I haven’t managed to articulate that well yet (maybe in 2026 …).