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The Sequences do not contain unique ideas, and they present the ideas they do contain in misleading ways using parochial language. The “Law of Conservation of Expected Confidence” essay, for instance, covers ideas that are often covered in introductory philosophical methods or critical thinking courses. There is no novelty either in the idea that your expected future credence must match your current credence (otherwise, why not update your credence now?), nor in the idea that if E is evidence for H, then ~E is evidence for ~H (though E and ~E may have very different evidential strength), and Yudkowsky’s treatment is imprecise and, in combining multiple points, muddles things more than it illuminates them. Besides that, the former notion has sparked substantial controversy in epistemology, owing to cases wherein people apparently can reasonably expect to have their minds changed without changing them right now. While popular, Bayesianism is not univocally accepted by epistemologists, and it’s not because they’re irrational.
Criticism of this article was found at a talk page at RationalWiki.
What do you guys think?
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Talk:LessWrong#EA_orgs_praising_AI_pseudoscience_charity._Is_it_useful.3F