I think if the question is “what do I do with my altruistic budget,” then investing some of it to cash out later (with large returns) and donate much more is a valid option (as long as you have systems in place that actually make sure that happens). At small amounts (<$10M), I think the marginal negative effects on AGI timelines and similar factors are basically negligible compared to other factors.
10M$ sounds like it’d be a lot for PauseAI-type orgs imo, though admittedly this is not a very informed take.
Anyways, I stand by my comment; I expect throwing money at PauseAI-type orgs is better utility per dollar than nvidia even after taking into account that investing in nvidia to donate to PauseAI later is a possibility.
I do think it’s conceptually nicer to donate to PauseAI now rather than rely on the investment appreciating enough to offset the time-delay in donation. Not that it’s necessarily the wrong thing to do, but it injects a lot more uncertainty into the model that is difficult to quantify.
I think if the question is “what do I do with my altruistic budget,” then investing some of it to cash out later (with large returns) and donate much more is a valid option (as long as you have systems in place that actually make sure that happens). At small amounts (<$10M), I think the marginal negative effects on AGI timelines and similar factors are basically negligible compared to other factors.
10M$ sounds like it’d be a lot for PauseAI-type orgs imo, though admittedly this is not a very informed take.
Anyways, I stand by my comment; I expect throwing money at PauseAI-type orgs is better utility per dollar than nvidia even after taking into account that investing in nvidia to donate to PauseAI later is a possibility.
Pause AI has a lot of opportunity for growth.
Especially the “increase public awareness” lever is hugely underfunded. Almost no paid staff or advertising budget.
Our game plan is simple but not naive, and is most importantly a disjunct, value-add bet.
Please help us execute it well: explore, join, talk with us, donate whatever combination of time, skills, ideas and funds makes sense
(Excuse dearth of kudos, am not a regular LW person, just an old EA adjacent nerd who quit Amazon to volunteer full-time for the movement.)
I do think it’s conceptually nicer to donate to PauseAI now rather than rely on the investment appreciating enough to offset the time-delay in donation. Not that it’s necessarily the wrong thing to do, but it injects a lot more uncertainty into the model that is difficult to quantify.