While I’m not in any way an expert in simulation making, wouldn’t it seem just a bit too convenient that, in all the monstrous computing power behind making the universe run, the Overlords couldn’t devise a pretty clever and powerful algorithm that would have found us already? Maybe you can help me see why there would only be a crude algorithm that superintelligences should fear being caught by, and why they wouldn’t have considered themselves caught already.
Apart from this, I’m in agreement with other commenters that a stronger argument is the vastness of space.
Overlords couldn’t devise a pretty clever and powerful algorithm that would have found us already?
Maybe the overlords are very, very, different life forms than us, and so they don’t know what to look for other than large scale statistical anomalies?
But I must admit, this is a weakness of the hypothesis.
Apart from this, I’m in agreement with other commenters that a stronger argument is the vastness of space.
More space = more stars = bigger problem. There are roughly 10^14 stars within 100 million light years of earth (as far as I can tell), which would make for 10^17 within 1 bn ly, and 10^20 within 10bn ly. The universe is a whole 13bn years old.
While I’m not in any way an expert in simulation making, wouldn’t it seem just a bit too convenient that, in all the monstrous computing power behind making the universe run, the Overlords couldn’t devise a pretty clever and powerful algorithm that would have found us already? Maybe you can help me see why there would only be a crude algorithm that superintelligences should fear being caught by, and why they wouldn’t have considered themselves caught already.
Apart from this, I’m in agreement with other commenters that a stronger argument is the vastness of space.
Maybe the overlords are very, very, different life forms than us, and so they don’t know what to look for other than large scale statistical anomalies?
But I must admit, this is a weakness of the hypothesis.
More space = more stars = bigger problem. There are roughly 10^14 stars within 100 million light years of earth (as far as I can tell), which would make for 10^17 within 1 bn ly, and 10^20 within 10bn ly. The universe is a whole 13bn years old.