In any case, almost everyone who meets you now would count you as such. What arguments can you give to them that “heroic epistemology” is normative (and hence they are justified in donating to MIRI)?
Yes, no matter how many impossible things you do, the next person you meet thinks that they only heard of you because of them, ergo selection bias. This is an interesting question purely on a philosophical level—it seems to me to have some of the flavor of quantum suicide experiments where you can’t communicate your evidence. In principle this shouldn’t happen without quantum suicide for logically omniscient entities who already know the exact fraction of people with various characteristics, i.e., agree on exact priors, but I think it might start happening again to people who are logically unsure about which framework they should use.
Yes, no matter how many impossible things you do, the next person you meet thinks that they only heard of you because of them, ergo selection bias. This is an interesting question purely on a philosophical level—it seems to me to have some of the flavor of quantum suicide experiments where you can’t communicate your evidence. In principle this shouldn’t happen without quantum suicide for logically omniscient entities who already know the exact fraction of people with various characteristics, i.e., agree on exact priors, but I think it might start happening again to people who are logically unsure about which framework they should use.