That’s fair. I think people mostly overestimate risks from value drift. I imagine following the “optimal strategy” I described above would still involve making 1-2 big donations a year, and most people don’t drift too far over a year. Especially if you’ve signed the pledge, you’ve been donating consistently for a couple years, most of your friends are EA, etc. The better ways to avoid value drift, and keep yourself committed, is writing a yearly blog post on your donations.
That’s fair. I think people mostly overestimate risks from value drift. I imagine following the “optimal strategy” I described above would still involve making 1-2 big donations a year, and most people don’t drift too far over a year. Especially if you’ve signed the pledge, you’ve been donating consistently for a couple years, most of your friends are EA, etc. The better ways to avoid value drift, and keep yourself committed, is writing a yearly blog post on your donations.