“It’s fine to say that this is a falsified prediction”
I wouldn’t even say it’s falsified. The context was: “it only took a few decades to get from [chess computer can make legal chess moves] to [chess computer beats human grandmaster]. I doubt that going from “understanding English” to “controlling the Earth” will take that long.”
So insofar as we believe ASI is coming in less than a few decades, I’d say EY’s prediction is still on track to turn out correct.
“It’s fine to say that this is a falsified prediction”
I wouldn’t even say it’s falsified. The context was: “it only took a few decades to get from [chess computer can make legal chess moves] to [chess computer beats human grandmaster]. I doubt that going from “understanding English” to “controlling the Earth” will take that long.”
So insofar as we believe ASI is coming in less than a few decades, I’d say EY’s prediction is still on track to turn out correct.