I agree the term is in common use, but there is value in proposing a detailed operationalization of a concept that otherwise has a fuzzy referent. This is one way to ground timelines debates and make forecasts cross-comparable, as we discuss in the piece.
I agree the term is in common use, but there is value in proposing a detailed operationalization of a concept that otherwise has a fuzzy referent. This is one way to ground timelines debates and make forecasts cross-comparable, as we discuss in the piece.